Permian Resources Corporation
PR
$22.10
+2.22%
Permian Resources Corporation is an independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company focused on acquiring, optimizing, and developing assets in the core of the Permian Basin across West Texas and New Mexico. The company is a pure-play operator in one of the world's most prolific hydrocarbon basins, positioning itself as a consolidator and low-cost producer in a competitive landscape. The current investor narrative is driven by the company's role as a key beneficiary of sustained higher oil prices, as evidenced by recent analyst upgrades tied to bullish oil price forecasts, alongside its ongoing strategy of operational efficiency and shareholder returns through dividends and potential share repurchases.…
PR
Permian Resources Corporation
$22.10
Related headlines
PR 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Permian Resources Corporation's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $28.73 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$28.73
3 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
3
covering this stock
Price Range
$18 - $29
Analyst target range
Analyst coverage for Permian Resources appears limited, with only 3 analysts providing estimates for future EPS and revenue, indicating this may be a mid-cap name with less widespread institutional following, which can contribute to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery. The average revenue estimate for the forward period is $6.01 billion, with a wide range from a low of $5.25 billion to a high of $6.48 billion, reflecting significant uncertainty or variability in assumptions about production volumes and commodity prices. Recent institutional ratings from major firms like Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and RBC Capital are unanimously positive, with actions consistently being 'Buy', 'Overweight', or 'Outperform', signaling strong professional conviction in the stock's prospects, likely tied to its operational focus and favorable oil market backdrop.
PR Technical Analysis
The stock is in a sustained and powerful uptrend, evidenced by a 1-year price change of +68.03% and a 6-month gain of +64.26%. As of the latest close at $20.50, the stock is trading near the top of its 52-week range, approximately 93% of the way from its 52-week low of $11.58 to its high of $21.99, indicating strong momentum but also proximity to a key resistance level that could signal overextension. Recent momentum shows a slight divergence, with a 3-month surge of +38.70% contrasting with a 1-month pullback of -2.01%, suggesting a potential consolidation or profit-taking phase after the sharp rally, especially given the stock's relative strength versus the S&P 500 has been negative over the past month at -10.71%. Key technical levels are clearly defined, with immediate resistance at the 52-week high of $21.99 and support at the 52-week low of $11.58; a decisive breakout above $22 would confirm the continuation of the bull trend, while a breakdown below the recent consolidation range near $19.50 could signal a deeper correction. The stock's beta of 0.552 indicates it is approximately 45% less volatile than the broader market, which is atypical for an E&P company but suggests the stock has exhibited lower systematic risk during its ascent.
Beta
0.55
0.55x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-26.9%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$12-$22
Price range past year
Annual Return
+82.6%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | PR Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +7.3% | +10.0% |
| 3m | +37.0% | +4.1% |
| 6m | +76.0% | +5.7% |
| 1y | +82.6% | +29.0% |
| ytd | +53.5% | +5.7% |
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PR Fundamental Analysis
Revenue growth has been volatile on a quarterly basis, with the most recent Q4 2025 revenue of $1.17 billion representing a -9.78% year-over-year decline, though this follows a strong Q3 2025 revenue of $1.32 billion; segment data shows the business is overwhelmingly driven by Crude Oil, which generated $2.13 billion, highlighting the company's direct exposure to oil price fluctuations. The company is solidly profitable, with Q4 2025 net income of $339.5 million and a net margin of 29.03%, though gross margin compressed to 26.84% in that quarter from a higher 33.53% in Q3, indicating potential cost pressures or mix shifts; the trailing twelve-month net margin stands at a healthy 18.46%, demonstrating the underlying profitability of its asset base. Balance sheet and cash flow health are robust, with a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36, strong trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $2.88 billion, and a return on equity of 9.10%; the substantial free cash flow generation provides ample capacity for funding capital expenditures, sustaining its 4.46% dividend yield, and pursuing further strategic acquisitions without over-leveraging.
Quarterly Revenue
$1.2B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
-0.09%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.26%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$2.9B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is PR Overvalued?
Given the company's positive net income, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio. The trailing P/E stands at 10.74x, while the forward P/E is slightly lower at 10.00x, indicating the market expects modest earnings growth or stabilization in the coming period. Compared to typical industry averages for profitable E&P companies, a P/E in the low-teens range is generally considered reasonable or even discounted, suggesting the stock is not trading at a significant premium despite its strong price performance, potentially due to the cyclical nature of earnings. Historically, the stock's own P/E ratio has fluctuated significantly, from lows near 2.2x in 2022 to highs above 38x in late 2025; the current level of ~10.7x sits comfortably in the mid-to-lower half of its historical range, indicating that while the stock price has risen, earnings have grown in tandem, preventing extreme valuation expansion and leaving room for multiple appreciation if growth expectations are met.
PE
10.7x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range -19x~38x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
3.7x
Enterprise Value Multiple
