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Post Holdings

POST

$102.75

+2.21%

Post Holdings is a consumer packaged goods holding company operating in the Packaged Foods industry. It is a diversified food manufacturer with a portfolio spanning ready-to-eat cereal, pet food, egg products, and refrigerated retail items.

Should I buy POST
Bobby Quantitative Model
May 12, 2026

POST

Post Holdings

$102.75

+2.21%
May 12, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Post Holdings is a consumer packaged goods holding company operating in the Packaged Foods industry. It is a diversified food manufacturer with a portfolio spanning ready-to-eat cereal, pet food, egg products, and refrigerated retail items.
Should I buy POST

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POST 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $102.75
Average Target $102.75
High Target $118.1625
Low Target $87.33749999999999

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Post Holdings's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $133.58 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$133.58

5 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

5

covering this stock

Price Range

$82 - $134

Analyst target range

Buy
1 (20%)
Hold
2 (40%)
Sell
2 (40%)

Wall Street analyst coverage for POST is limited, with only four analysts providing estimates. The consensus estimates for the upcoming period are an average EPS of $9.48 and average revenue of $8.41 billion. Recent institutional ratings from firms like Barclays, JP Morgan, and Mizuho show a generally positive bias with 'Overweight' or 'Outperform' ratings, while Wells Fargo maintains an 'Equal Weight' stance. A specific consensus target price is not provided in the data.

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POST Technical Analysis

The stock's overall trend over the past six months has been negative, with a decline of 10.05% from October 2025 to March 2026. The price peaked near $115 in early February 2026 before a sharp correction, indicating significant volatility and a lack of sustained upward momentum. Short-term performance shows continued weakness, with the stock down 8.56% over the past month, underperforming the S&P 500 which fell 7.87%. However, over the last three months, the stock's decline of 2.16% has been less severe than the broader market's 7.32% drop, suggesting some relative resilience in the recent quarter. As of the latest close, the stock price of $97.20 sits near the lower end of its 52-week range of $95.06 to $119.85, approximately 19% below its yearly high. The provided beta of 0.34 indicates the stock has historically been less volatile than the overall market.

Beta

0.36

0.36x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-19.4%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$94-$117

Price range past year

Annual Return

-5.7%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodPOST ReturnS&P 500
1m+1.7%+8.6%
3m-7.3%+6.7%
6m-3.4%+9.8%
1y-5.7%+26.6%
ytd+3.1%+8.3%

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POST Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has been positive on a year-over-year basis, with the most recent quarter (Q1 2026) showing a 10.1% increase to $2.17 billion compared to the same quarter a year prior. Profitability has been variable; the net margin improved to 4.45% in Q1 2026 from 2.27% in the previous quarter (Q4 2025), but remains below the 5.74% margin from Q1 2025. Financial health is characterized by significant leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.05. However, the company maintains a strong current ratio of 1.67 and generates substantial free cash flow, with TTM free cash flow reported at $436 million, providing some cushion for its debt obligations. Operational efficiency metrics show a return on equity (ROE) of 8.94% and a return on assets (ROA) of 4.20%. These figures indicate moderate but positive returns on shareholder equity and company assets, though there is room for improvement in capital efficiency.

Quarterly Revenue

$2.2B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.10%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.27%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$436000000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Cereal and Granola
Cheese and Dairy
Egg and Egg Products
Other
Pet Food
Sausage
Side Dishes
Product Eliminations

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Valuation Analysis: Is POST Overvalued?

Given the company's positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the trailing P/E ratio, which stands at 17.96. This suggests the market is valuing the company's earnings at a moderate multiple. The forward P/E of 11.71 is lower, indicating analyst expectations for higher future earnings. Peer comparison data is not available in the provided inputs. Other valuation metrics include a Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 0.74 and an EV/EBITDA of 10.19, which may provide additional context but are secondary to the P/E analysis given the profitable status.

PE

18.0x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -56x~39x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

10.2x

Enterprise Value Multiple

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