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Kohlberg Kravis Roberts

KKR

$95.97

-1.03%

KKR & Co. Inc. is one of the world's largest alternative asset managers, operating across private equity, credit, infrastructure, real estate, and insurance through its two core segments: asset management and insurance. The firm is a dominant global player in private markets, distinguished by its scale, with over $723 billion in total managed assets, and its strategic expansion into permanent capital vehicles like its insurance arm, Global Atlantic. The current investor narrative is dominated by a mix of major strategic bets, such as the high-premium acquisition of Taiyo Holdings, and sector-wide concerns over liquidity stress and potential defaults in the private credit market, which have sparked debate about the resilience of alternative asset managers' business models.…

Should I buy KKR
Bobby Quantitative Model
May 18, 2026

KKR

Kohlberg Kravis Roberts

$95.97

-1.03%
May 18, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
KKR & Co. Inc. is one of the world's largest alternative asset managers, operating across private equity, credit, infrastructure, real estate, and insurance through its two core segments: asset management and insurance. The firm is a dominant global player in private markets, distinguished by its scale, with over $723 billion in total managed assets, and its strategic expansion into permanent capital vehicles like its insurance arm, Global Atlantic. The current investor narrative is dominated by a mix of major strategic bets, such as the high-premium acquisition of Taiyo Holdings, and sector-wide concerns over liquidity stress and potential defaults in the private credit market, which have sparked debate about the resilience of alternative asset managers' business models.
Should I buy KKR

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KKR 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $95.97
Average Target $95.97
High Target $110.3655
Low Target $81.5745

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Kohlberg Kravis Roberts's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $124.76 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$124.76

2 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

2

covering this stock

Price Range

$77 - $125

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (50%)
Sell
1 (50%)

Analyst coverage appears limited, with only two analysts providing estimates for revenue and EPS, suggesting institutional interest may be narrower than for mega-cap peers, which can lead to higher volatility. The consensus sentiment from recent institutional ratings is predominantly bullish, with firms like Barclays (Overweight), UBS (Buy), and BMO Capital (Outperform) maintaining positive stances, though TD Cowen downgraded to Hold in January 2026, indicating some caution amid the sector sell-off. Without a provided average target price, the implied upside cannot be calculated, but the maintained Buy/Outperform ratings by several major firms in the face of price weakness suggests analysts see fundamental value at current levels. The target range and signal strength cannot be assessed due to missing target price data, but the recent news flow of major deals (Taiyo, Atlantic Aviation exit) likely underpins bullish analyst assumptions about realized gains and future fundraising, while the low targets would incorporate risks of prolonged private credit stress and a slower exit environment.

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KKR Technical Analysis

The stock is in a pronounced downtrend, having declined 22.82% over the past year and currently trading at $96.97, which positions it at just 63% of its 52-week range (between $82.67 and $153.87), indicating it is much closer to its lows than its highs. This positioning near the lower bound of the range suggests the stock is deeply oversold, potentially offering a value opportunity, but also reflects significant negative momentum and investor pessimism. Recent momentum shows continued weakness, with the stock down 6.62% over the past month and 4.68% over the past three months, diverging sharply from the broader market's gains (SPY up 5.6% and 8.42% over the same periods, respectively). This persistent underperformance, evidenced by a 1-month relative strength of -12.22 points, signals that KKR-specific headwinds, likely related to private credit fears, are overwhelming any broader market tailwinds. Key technical levels are clear, with immediate support at the 52-week low of $82.67 and resistance at the 52-week high of $153.87; a breakdown below $82.67 would signal a new leg down and validate bearish fears, while a sustained move above the recent downtrend line would suggest stabilization. The stock's high beta of 1.85 indicates it is 85% more volatile than the market, which amplifies both downside risk and potential upside during a recovery, a critical factor for risk management.

Beta

1.85

1.85x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-44.9%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$83-$154

Price range past year

Annual Return

-23.8%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodKKR ReturnS&P 500
1m-7.4%+4.0%
3m-6.4%+8.2%
6m-18.3%+11.5%
1y-23.8%+24.3%
ytd-25.5%+8.3%

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KKR Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has been volatile but showed a significant surge in the most recent quarter, with Q4 2025 revenue of $5.52 billion representing a 72.5% year-over-year increase; however, this follows a choppy pattern from Q1's $3.05 billion to Q3's $5.46 billion, indicating lumpy performance typical of asset managers reliant on asset sales and fund performance fees. The company is profitable, with Q4 net income of $1.15 billion and a net margin of 20.8%, but profitability has fluctuated sharply, from a net loss of -$186 million in Q1 to the recent strong profit, driven largely by performance in the Asset Management and Strategic Holdings segments which contributed $1.84 billion in revenue. Margins are expanding from recent lows, with the gross margin recovering to 35.6% in Q4 from negative territory in Q1, though the operating margin of 40.0% is inflated by significant other income; the core fee-related earnings and spread-based insurance margins are more stable but not detailed in the segment data. The balance sheet is levered but supported by strong cash generation, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.77 and a robust trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $7.52 billion, yielding a healthy FCF yield of approximately 6.6% based on market cap, indicating the company generates ample cash to service debt and fund growth internally without excessive reliance on external financing.

Quarterly Revenue

$5.5B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.72%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.35%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$7.5B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Asset Management And Strategic Holdings Segments
Asset Management Segment
Insurance Segment

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Valuation Analysis: Is KKR Overvalued?

Given the positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is elevated at 47.9x, while the forward P/E is substantially lower at 13.1x, indicating the market expects a significant earnings rebound in the coming year, likely pricing in the cyclical recovery of performance fees and the monetization of investments like Atlantic Aviation. Compared to sector averages, data is not available in the provided set for a direct industry P/E comparison, but the forward P/E of 13.1x appears reasonable for a high-quality asset manager if earnings estimates are achievable, though the wide gap between trailing and forward multiples reflects high uncertainty. Historically, the stock's own P/E ratio has been volatile, with the current trailing P/E of 47.9x sitting above the recent Q4 2025 historical P/E of 24.8x but below peaks from earlier cycles (e.g., 99.5x in Q4 2022); this suggests the current valuation is not at extreme historical highs but is pricing in a recovery that has yet to fully materialize in reported earnings.

PE

47.9x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -138x~1160x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

23.6x

Enterprise Value Multiple

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