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The Ensign Group, Inc.

ENSG

$199.02

-1.26%

The Ensign Group, Inc. is a leading provider of post-acute healthcare services in the United States, operating skilled nursing, assisted living, home health, hospice, mobile ancillary, and urgent care facilities. The company has established itself as a prominent consolidator and operator in the fragmented skilled nursing industry, known for its decentralized, regional subsidiary model that emphasizes operational efficiency and local market expertise. The current investor narrative revolves around the company's robust organic growth and strategic acquisition strategy, which has driven significant revenue expansion, as evidenced by its recent 20% year-over-year quarterly revenue growth, positioning it as a key beneficiary of demographic tailwinds in an aging population.…

Should I buy ENSG
Bobby Quantitative Model
Apr 10, 2026

ENSG

The Ensign Group, Inc.

$199.02

-1.26%
Apr 10, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
The Ensign Group, Inc. is a leading provider of post-acute healthcare services in the United States, operating skilled nursing, assisted living, home health, hospice, mobile ancillary, and urgent care facilities. The company has established itself as a prominent consolidator and operator in the fragmented skilled nursing industry, known for its decentralized, regional subsidiary model that emphasizes operational efficiency and local market expertise. The current investor narrative revolves around the company's robust organic growth and strategic acquisition strategy, which has driven significant revenue expansion, as evidenced by its recent 20% year-over-year quarterly revenue growth, positioning it as a key beneficiary of demographic tailwinds in an aging population.
Should I buy ENSG

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ENSG 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $199.02
Average Target $199.02
High Target $228.873
Low Target $169.167

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on The Ensign Group, Inc.'s 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $258.73 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$258.73

3 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

3

covering this stock

Price Range

$159 - $259

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (33%)
Sell
2 (67%)

Analyst coverage for ENSG is limited, with only three analysts providing estimates, which is typical for a mid-cap healthcare services company and can lead to higher volatility due to less efficient price discovery. The available data shows consensus estimates for EPS averaging $8.98 for the period, with a tight range between $8.89 and $9.07, indicating high conviction in near-term earnings projections. The institutional ratings from firms like RBC Capital ('Outperform'), Stephens & Co. ('Overweight'), and UBS ('Buy') alongside a 'Hold' from Truist Securities, paint a generally bullish picture among the limited coverage universe. The lack of a published average price target in the data necessitates a note that while analyst sentiment appears positive, the specific implied upside or downside to consensus cannot be quantified without a target price. The tight EPS estimate range suggests analysts have a firm grasp on near-term fundamentals, but the limited number of covering analysts means the stock may be more susceptible to significant price moves on company-specific news, as broader market consensus is less established.

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ENSG Technical Analysis

ENSG is in a sustained long-term uptrend, evidenced by a 48.67% gain over the past year, significantly outperforming the broader market's 22.2% return. The stock is currently trading at approximately 90% of its 52-week range, with a recent close of $196.62 against a 52-week high of $218.0, indicating it is near its cycle highs and testing a key technical resistance level. This positioning suggests strong underlying momentum but also raises the risk of a pullback if the stock fails to break through resistance. Recent momentum shows a notable divergence, with the stock down 7.75% over the past month, contrasting sharply with its strong 13.05% gain over the prior three months. This one-month weakness, occurring against a backdrop of a -4.28% move for the SPY, indicates a period of relative underperformance and consolidation following the sharp rally that began in early February. The stock's beta of 0.816 indicates it has been less volatile than the overall market, which is atypical for a growth-oriented healthcare name and may reflect its perceived defensive characteristics. Key technical support is anchored at the 52-week low of $118.73, while immediate resistance is the 52-week high of $218.0; a decisive breakout above $218 would signal a resumption of the primary uptrend, whereas a failure and breakdown below recent support near $200 could indicate a deeper correction is underway.

Beta

0.82

0.82x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-12.8%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$119-$218

Price range past year

Annual Return

+55.9%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodENSG ReturnS&P 500
1m-5.4%+0.5%
3m+14.5%-2.1%
6m+13.5%+4.0%
1y+55.9%+29.5%
ytd+14.4%-0.4%

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ENSG Fundamental Analysis

ENSG exhibits a powerful revenue growth trajectory, with Q4 2025 revenue reaching $1.36 billion, representing a 20.2% year-over-year increase. This growth has been consistent, with sequential quarterly revenues climbing from $1.17 billion in Q1 2025 to the current level, demonstrating accelerating top-line expansion primarily driven by its core Skilled Services segment, which generated $2.43 billion annually. The company is solidly profitable, reporting Q4 2025 net income of $95.5 million and a net margin of 7.02%. However, profitability metrics show some quarterly variability, with the gross margin compressing to 8.67% in Q4 from a higher 16.1% in Q2 2025, which management likely attributes to mix or reimbursement dynamics. The balance sheet and cash flow position is strong, with robust free cash flow generation of $370.7 million on a trailing-twelve-month basis, providing ample internal funding for growth and acquisitions. The company maintains a current ratio of 1.42, indicating sufficient short-term liquidity, though its debt-to-equity ratio of 1.86 suggests a leveraged capital structure that is actively managed, as evidenced by the healthy interest coverage. The substantial free cash flow yield supports the company's strategic initiatives and provides a buffer for its financial obligations.

Quarterly Revenue

$1.4B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.20%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.08%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$370713000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Skilled Services Segment
Standard Bearer Segment

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Valuation Analysis: Is ENSG Overvalued?

Given its positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. ENSG trades at a trailing PE of 29.02x and a forward PE of 23.87x, with the forward discount implying the market expects earnings growth to continue. Compared to sector averages, the stock's valuation presents a mixed picture; its trailing PE of 29.02x is elevated, but its Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio of 1.97x and EV/EBITDA of 24.01x must be contextualized against high-growth, consolidating healthcare services peers. The PEG ratio of 2.06, based on trailing earnings, suggests the stock is priced for growth, but that growth may already be reflected in the multiple. Historically, the current trailing PE of 29.02x sits above the multi-year range observable in the historical data, which has typically fluctuated between the high teens and mid-20s. This placement near the upper end of its own historical valuation band indicates the market is pricing in optimistic expectations for sustained high growth and margin performance, leaving little room for operational missteps.

PE

29.0x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 17x~73x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

24.0x

Enterprise Value Multiple

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